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in florida, another one showing obama up by five points. [laughter] guest: same weekend? there are two polling firms out there, that there have been real questions about. going back to the point that andrew made, you have to make an assumption that some point. is turnout going to be like it was in 2004? which was even between the parties? or will it be more like 2008, with seven points for the democrats? my preference is to look in between. but what the poll has been doing in particular is looking more at what it was in 2008, which political pollsters will tell you, it will not be at that point. it needs to be somewhere near where the republicans were in 2008. host: the annual crystal ball contest from "the washington post." jim cramer, predicting that mitt romney will get 98 electoral votes, the president, 440? he is the only one predicting a landslide for the president. guest: he is the only one predicting that. i am a democratic partisan, i would love to see that, but i do not think it will be close to that. host: only two are predicting that mitt romney will win, the other 11 sayin
to more than one dozen states on the campaign trail. >> this will be a chance to be in florida. he was in virginia last night. he will keep coming back to the midwestern firewall we have talked about a lot. the math has suddenly shot down to the states they're both competing in. it has been amazing to watch them debt in and get out within hours of each other. and sending all their surrogates to the same place. voters are all too easy to have an election day concluded in those states. >> what are you looking for on election night? >> ls is mentioned new hampshire. -- alexis mentioned new hampshire. people are so independently minded. it all the other states that all the math works out or this is a close battle, a new hampshire could come into play. keep your eye on the state. people have a way of shocking you in going against the polls. >> david work is available online at politico.com. the lexus at realpolitics.com. >> you can see this later today at 6:00 p.m. eastern, 3 pacific. >> why would the john wilkes booth team want to assassinate william henry seward? >> this is been the s
record. on election night he tried to recreate florida 2000 on fox news by insisting that the network fox was wrong to in calling the election for president obama. the number crunchers said, no, you are wrong. he made a fool of himself. still today he insists he is right. i would hope that nobody would give that guy a dollar to spend in any future election. i think his career in politics should be over. not that i feel strongly about this, but he also has this enormous conflict of interest. he is getting all of these people's money, spending it for mitt romney, then he is on fox news as a supposedly independent political commentator and is writing a column for "the wall street journal." there are so many conflicts there is a pleasure mind. host: and on the lecture circuit. guest: which, by the way, i am on that too. he has all kinds of things. his losing record is what points out that his time in american politics has come and gone. host: what is next for the political parties and the president? our guest is bill press. he concludes with these words -- there is a boundary to what luster a
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